
2010 Outlook for Western European Vertical Markets
by: Giuliana Folco
With GDP expected to grow by some 1.1% in Western Europe (against 3.3% in the US), the recovery in IT spending will be gradual across most of Western European vertical markets.
Total IT spending in the business segment (excluding the home-consumer sector) will remain flat in 2010, with a small decrease in hardware offset by a modest increase in software investments.
On the positive side, ongoing investments in smart energy and customer facing systems will help drive demand in the utilities segment. The outlook for business and professional services remains very diversified depending on the vertical sub-segment, but overall expectations are for stronger than average IT demand, driven also by the introduction of the new EU services directive. Telecommunications will continue to provide good opportunities, driven primarily by infrastructure investments, focused both on expanding network coverage and on improving existing network capabilities, and by investments to offer value-added services, necessary to maintain profitability.
After a strong decline in 2009, a small positive growth is anticipated in Western European manufacturing. IT investments are expected to grow faster in process manufacturing, while pent-up demand will drive spending in discrete manufacturing, starting in 2011.
The situation in the Western European finance segment is stabilising, but the sector remains fragile, with strong uncertainty still dominating in some countries including the UK and Greece. We expect an overall improvement in the sector but some weaknesses will remain, pushing some major banks to continue to rein in discretionary IT projects in 2010.
The transportation segment will keep on suffering, with traffic volumes and revenue yields still decreasing, while the retail sector will start offering new opportunities, which will become more evident in 2011.
Within the public sector, demand will be different across countries and sub-segments. Overall, healthcare and local government will show a higher than average IT spending growth rate. However, we anticipate a downsizing in spending growth by institutions in central government, as central authorities in a number of Western European countries (including the U.K. and Spain) rationalize and reduce their IT costs to gradually reduce accumulated deficits.
All these trends and many more are described in the new Q1 2010 Western European Vertical Markets IT spending pivot, which has just been released by the IDC European Vertical Market team.
The pivot table covers IT spending details for:
- 18 vertical markets: Agriculture, construction, mining; Banking; Business services; Central government; Communications; Discrete manufacturing; Education; Health; Insurance; Local government; Other; Other finance; Process manufacturing; Retail; Transport; Utilities; Wholesale; Home.
- 10 products/services: Networking, Other hardware, Personal Computers, Servers and disk systems within Hardware; Implementation, Maintenance and support, Operations, Planning, Training and education within IT services; and total Packaged software
- 16 Western European countries: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
To engage in a conversation with us or to learn more, contact us at vertical_markets@idc.com
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